Week 5 NFL Predictions - Experts vs a Four-Year-Old

We're four weeks into our little experiment of picking football games against a 4-year-old.  What have we learned?

• JDaddy and I are terrible at this.  I'm kind of glad we decided to pick against the kid.  Otherwise it would be like watching two Sun Belt lightweights fight it out for the conference championship.  Somebody has to win, but it's not fun to watch.
• All you need to do to pick games is go to NFL.com and figure out which logo you like better.
• If the 4-year-old had been able to control his gambling habit in Week 3 he would be 29-16-3 on the year.

Over the long term you would expect that a random picking of football games against the line would result in a .500 record.  Maybe that will turn out to be true after Week 17, but it's been fun to count up the record each week, my record notwithstanding.

Here are the records through Week 4:

Last Week
JDaddy: 9-7
CDog: 6-10
4-Year-Old: 11-5

Overall
JDaddy: 28-33-3
CDog: 29-32-3
4-Year-Old: 33-28-3

Will the start of the bye weeks throw the kid off his game?  Probably not, but I can hope.



Week 5 Picks

Game	JDaddy	CDog	4 Year Old
Kansas City (+2) at Indianapolis	Indianapolis	Indianapolis	Indianapolis
Arizona (+2.5) at Minnesota	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Philadelphia (-3) at Buffalo	Buffalo	Buffalo	Buffalo
Oakland (+6) at Houston	Oakland	Houston	Houston
New Orleans (-6.5) at Carolina	New Orleans	Carolina	New Orleans
Cincinnati (+2) at Jacksonville	Cincinnati	Jacksonville	Cincinnati
Tennessee (+3) at Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	Tennessee
Seattle (+10) at NY Giants	NY Giants	Seattle	NY Giants
Tampa Bay (+3) at San Francisco	Tampa Bay	Tampa Bay	San Francisco
NY Jets (+9) at New England	New England	New England	NY Jets
San Diego (-4) at Denver	San Diego	San Diego	Denver
Green Bay (-6) at Atlanta	Green Bay	Atlanta	Atlanta
Chicago (+5) at Detroit	Chicago	Chicago	Chicago

I think it's perfectly clear who you should place money on in Week 5 of the 2011 NFL season.

• Tennessee
• New York Giants
• San Francisco
• New York Jets
• Denver Broncos

Those are the five teams the kid picked to win after JDaddy and I both picked against them.